Every preseason, there seems to be at least one major injury that sends
shockwaves through the world of Fantasy Football. One week into the full
preseason slate, we've already got our first glitch on the richter scale.
Bears quarterback Rex Grossman broke his left ankle in the second
quarter of Chicago's game at St. Louis and is out for at least three
months. Grossman tore his ACL last year after three starts and missed
the rest of the season. That effectively ended the Bears' season, and
it's likely that Grossman's absence will do the same in 2005.
Grossman is no Peyton Manning, but at least opposing defenses
respected his arm. In the preseason Hall of Fame game vs. Miami,
Grossman went deep multiple times and connected once with Muhsin
Muhammad. That kind of aggressive passing is what forced teams to
think twice about a blitz against Chicago. That's not the case anymore
since the Bears are left with Chad Hutchinson, rookie Kyle
Orton and Kurt Kittner at quarterback.
Obviously, Grossman's stock has plummeted; he should not even come close
to a draft board now. His replacement could be Jeff Blake, who
the Bears signed. Blake throws a mean deep ball and can scramble for
yardage, but he's not going to be the starter right away.
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Thomas Jones 2004: Before Grossman's injury
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GM
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Att
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Yds
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Avg
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TD
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Rec
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Yds
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Avg
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TD
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|
3
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66
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329
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4.9
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4
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15
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116
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7.4
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0
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Thomas Jones 2004: After Grossman's injury
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GM
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Att
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Yds
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Avg
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TD
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Rec
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Yds
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Avg
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TD
|
|
13
|
174
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619
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3.2
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3
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41
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311
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7.4
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0
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Grossman's injury also affects Muhammad, who wasn't projected to have a
huge year but now may have a hard time getting even 1,000 receiving
yards. And while the Bears may have to rely on their running game now, Thomas
Jones still drops because defenses will be rushing him and the
quarterback even more. In fact, Jones' production was severly limited
once Grossman went down in '04. Rookie Cedric Benson falls a
little bit too since he'll also feel the defensive crunch (if he ever
gets into camp). The DST still has value but the offense could put them
in rough spots during the year.
The Bears have become this year's "run" Fantasy team: If you are
thinking about drafting a player from Chicago, run the other way.
Fantasy recommendations
If the Raiders' first preseason game is any indication, LaMont Jordan
could be a bigger Fantasy factor than first expected. Four of Oakland's
first five plays involved Jordan (two runs, two receptions). In fact,
Jordan had four catches in the game, including a nimble, one-handed
catch from Kerry Collins. That's surprising to me; Jordan's
career high in receptions is 17 in 2002. If this continues, Jordan will
move up the charts. He's worth taking in Round 2 in most leagues.
Joey Harrington was perfect against the Jets -- literally. He
completed all nine of his pass attempts, most of which were under 10
yards, for a total of 100 yards. He wasn't dead-on accurate, but he
tossed a perfect lob on a 20-yard fade pass to Charles Rogers in
single coverage. This is pretty encouraging, especially since Harrington
holds the keys to several significant Fantasy players' seasons. Backup Jeff
Garcia was a little more erratic, which is par for the course
considering his all-or-nothing style.
Carson Palmer may have had a shoddy stat line (4 of 11, 37 yards,
INT), but he really did look good against the Patriots' first-string
defense. What stood out for me was his poise in the pocket and his
willingness to scramble for yardage and throw deep. Twice he threw long
in the direction of Chad Johnson, both times gunning a perfect
spiral. Both times Johnson was in double coverage (one pass was picked
off), but in the regular season that can change, especially if Rudi
Johnson sets up the pass with his solid running.
Extra snaps: Eli Manning ran a dumbed-down version of the
Giants offense and did very well. Most of his passes were for short
yardage, not including a 20-yard jump ball to Plaxico Burress. He
could move up the charts soon. ... It looks like Chris Chambers
will be a frequent flyer for the Dolphins, going deep several times in
both of Miami's preseason contests. Remember, Miami's new offensive
coordinator used to be in Minnesota, so Chambers could be getting
assignments similar to that of Randy Moss. ... Collins looked
very sharp in Oakland's game against the Niners. His accuracy, which a
lot of people think doesn't exist, was improved. Having Moss on his side
helped some, too. ... Don't look now, but Kurt Warner shined
against the Cowboys. He was 14 of 19 for 151 yards and a score to Larry
Fitzgerald. If his depleted offensive line heals before the start of
the season, Warner could move into the top 12 Fantasy QB echelon.
Fantasy warnings
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Kyle Boller didn't look so good against the Falcons.
(AP)
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Two quarterbacks disappointed this first preseason weekend, and they
played against each other. The Falcons' Michael Vick and the
Ravens' Kyle Boller both were lacking and need to show
improvement before falling down the charts. Vick was very mobile and his
accuracy was pretty good, but he still does not have the No. 1 receiver
he needs to become a valuable Fantasy commodity. Until then, he's going
to throw between 125 and 225 yards per week, mixing in a big rushing
effort every few weeks. As for Boller, he's got the receivers but
doesn't have the accuracy. Several of his passes were either too high or
behind his receivers and he only had one or two drops. Vick is still a
No. 1 Fantasy quarterback, but he needs to find a reliable option other
than Alge Crumpler. Boller is a No. 2 Fantasy passer bordering on
being a No. 3, and his stock plummeting could affect Derrick Mason
and Todd Heap as well.
This shouldn't come as much of a surprise, but top overall draft pick Alex
Smith looked pretty shaky against the Raiders. Part of the problem
was that Oakland absolutely abused San Fran's offensive line, meaning
Smith had no time to make reads. He completed one pass against the
Raiders' first-string defense. The line also impacted running back Kevan
Barlow's production, so if that isn't fixed expect the Niners to be
lacking in the stat department. In their defense, veteran tackle Jonas
Jennings, guard Justin Smiley and rookie guard David Baas
were not active.
Take away a 76-yard pass from Billy Volek to rookie Roydell
Williams and the Titans' offense looked ghastly in their first
preseason game. Without that play, they finished with 219 total yards,
which is pretty weak. Also, Travis Henry's four-carry, 12-yard
effort didn't do anything to set him apart from Chris Brown. The
Tennessee offense remains a mystery.
Extra snaps: Domanick Davis couldn't score from the
Broncos 1-yard line on four tries. Not good. It could mean a loss in
goal-line work for the Texans' speedster. ... The Packers defense looked
atrocious against San Diego's running backs, and that was with LaDainian
Tomlinson on the sidelines. Early on this season, teams should have
some success moving the ball against the Pack.
Fantasy sleepers
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Stock watch
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Based on this week's action, here are the top five fantasy risers,
fantasy sinkers and five new names to add to your own player
rankings. Five risers 1. K. Warner (ARI) 2. E.
Manning (NYG) 3. M. Bennett (MIN) 4. K. Collins (OAK) 5.
L. Fitzgerald (ARI) Five sinkers 5. M. Muhammad
(CHI) 4. Packers DST 3. K. Boller (BAL) 2. A. Smith (SF) 1.
R. Grossman (CHI) New names to know 1. A. Pearman
(JAC) 2. B. Jacobs (NYG) 3. M. Cassel (NE) 4. S. Wallace
(SEA) 5. M. Mann (MIA)
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Philip Rivers is the real deal and will one day be a monster in
Fantasy. He made an awesome 34-yard pass to Willie Quinnie to
score San Diego's only TD. Rivers has the field vision, guts and
gunslinging arm that make opposing defenses cringe. I'd love to see him
get snaps with the first team at some point this preseason. Speaking of
the Chargers, rookie RB Darren Sproles had 13 touches (seven
carries, six receptions) in the Packers game. He could be a nice
addition to that offense.
Rod Gardner had two nice catches for 31 yards and a TD in his
Panthers debut, but look past the stats. Gardner was motivated to play
big against his old team, Washington, and he saw time with the first
team because Keary Colbert was sidelined with an injury. Gardner
still has plenty of sleeper potential but could have a hard time seeing
the field.
Two running backs in the Miami-Jacksonville tilt should be followed, and
one is a fairly familiar name. Dolphins RB Ricky Williams looked
like his old self when he shook two Jags defenders out of their cleats
on a 13-yard run. He could start competing for time, especially with Lamar
Gordon being dropped down the Fins' depth chart. The other running
back is Jacksonville rookie Alvin Pearman, who had 64 rushing
yards on 11 carries. With Fred Taylor nursing injuries and LaBrandon
Toefield not impressing, Pearman could land some reps in the regular
season.
Extra snaps: William Green, not Lee Suggs, was the
best Browns running back against New York. He finished with 55 total
yards and a touchdown and looked very good. He could receive some time
with the first-string offense soon. ... Giants rookie Brandon Jacobs
had 30 yards after contact in his first preseason game and had a 43-yard
run negated by a penalty. He's going to end up stealing a handful of
touchdowns from Tiki Barber. ... The Patriots may have another Tom
Brady on their hands. Rookie Matt Cassel worked seven
possessions, leading the Pats to a score on four of them against the
Bengals. He finished with 135 passing yards, one touchdown and 46
rushing yards. ... Tim Rattay isn't likely to wrestle the
starting job away from Smith, but his two-touchdown effort against
Oakland could help.
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2005 CBS SPORTSLINE FANTASY FOOTBALL SHOW!
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Fantasy Football fanatics get your cheat sheets ready as the CBS
SPORTS SPECTACULAR presents the "2005 CBS SportsLine Fantasy
Football Show" on Saturday, August 20 (1:00-2:00 PM, ET). CBS
Sports’ Randy Cross and Gus Johnson along with CBS SportsLine
Fantasy Football guru Michael Fabiano will offer their expert
advice on everything from the Top 10 overall players to the late
round sleepers of the 2005 Draft Class. The one-hour
special will highlight the Top 10 fantasy players overall and by
position, including quarterbacks, running backs and wide
receivers. After the experts break down who to pick and why, they
will discuss draft strategies, impact players on new teams and the
2005 Draft Class, which rookies will start, and which will shine. Be
sure to tune in Saturday, August 20!
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